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Match predictions

Alverca vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri, Apr 24 - 22:15

Updated Tue, Jul 21, 2026 15:34 EAT
Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Lost
Alverca Alverca logo
2-1
Arouca logo Arouca
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31 Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
132%Home X25%Draw 242%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

Alverca vs Arouca key facts

Primary tipArouca to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offFri, Apr 24 - 22:15
Confidence42%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 40% for Arouca. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Alverca Win32%
Draw25%
Arouca Win42%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 72% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five
Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 40% for Arouca. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Alverca 1 wins, Arouca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Alverca vs Arouca questions

What is the Alverca vs Arouca prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Arouca to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Alverca are rated at 32%, the draw at 25%, and Arouca at 42%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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