Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Championship · Tue, May 12 - 22:00
Updated Fri, Aug 7, 2026 00:00 EAT
Championship
Lost
Middlesbrough
Southampton vs Middlesbrough key facts
Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 4. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Middlesbrough a 4% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Middlesbrough at 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Southampton 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Middlesbrough in position 5, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Southampton an average top-player rating of 6.79 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with Middlesbrough at 6.92 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Southampton to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 4. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Middlesbrough a 4% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Middlesbrough at 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Southampton 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Middlesbrough in position 5, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Southampton an average top-player rating of 6.79 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with Middlesbrough at 6.92 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Southampton 0 wins, Middlesbrough 1 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw
Southampton vs Middlesbrough questions
What is the Southampton vs Middlesbrough prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Southampton to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 43% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Southampton are rated at 43%, the draw at 24%, and Middlesbrough at 33%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.