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Match predictions

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Sat, May 16 - 16:30

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 15:25 EAT
Bundesliga logo Bundesliga Lost
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen logo
1-1
Hamburger SV logo Hamburger SV
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 34 BayArena
144%Home X26%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV key facts

Primary tipBayer Leverkusen to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offSat, May 16 - 16:30
Confidence44%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Hamburger SV have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bayer Leverkusen a 40% home win trend and Hamburger SV a 30% away win trend. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Hamburger SV at 1.40 scored and 1.90 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen 1 wins, Hamburger SV 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 26% draw and 30% away, making Bayer Leverkusen to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Bayer Leverkusen to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Bayer Leverkusen Win44%
Draw26%
Hamburger SV Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Bayer Leverkusen formD L W W L7 points from last five
Hamburger SV formD W W L L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Bayer Leverkusen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Hamburger SV have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Bayer Leverkusen a 40% home win trend and Hamburger SV a 30% away win trend. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Hamburger SV at 1.40 scored and 1.90 conceded. Bayer Leverkusen 1 wins, Hamburger SV 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 26% draw and 30% away, making Bayer Leverkusen to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Bayer Leverkusen 1 wins, Hamburger SV 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV questions

What is the Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Bayer Leverkusen to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Bayer Leverkusen are rated at 44%, the draw at 26%, and Hamburger SV at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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