FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

Prediction summary

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg key facts

Primary tipVfL Wolfsburg to Win

Predicted score1-3

Kick-offSat, May 16 - 16:30

Confidence57%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while VfL Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives FC St. Pauli a 20% home win trend and VfL Wolfsburg a 90% away win trend. FC St. Pauli average 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with VfL Wolfsburg at 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. FC St. Pauli 0 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has FC St. Pauli in position 18, 26 points, 34 matches played, while VfL Wolfsburg in position 16, 29 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 19% home, 24% draw and 57% away, making VfL Wolfsburg to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

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Match forecast

VfL Wolfsburg to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-3 Confidence: Medium · 57% ★★★☆☆

FC St. Pauli Win19%

Draw24%

VfL Wolfsburg Win57%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner VfL Wolfsburg to Win 57% model probability

Double Chance X2 81% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 73% model probability

Correct Score 1-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score VfL Wolfsburg Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet VfL Wolfsburg clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 73% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Won

Model Confidence Medium 57% Final score: 1-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

FC St. Pauli formL L L L D1 points from last five

VfL Wolfsburg formW W6 points from last five

Home/Away strength20% / 90%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile0.60 - 2.50Average goals scored

Table position18 / 1626 pts vs 29 pts

Reason for tip

FC St. Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while VfL Wolfsburg have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives FC St. Pauli a 20% home win trend and VfL Wolfsburg a 90% away win trend. FC St. Pauli average 0.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with VfL Wolfsburg at 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. FC St. Pauli 0 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has FC St. Pauli in position 18, 26 points, 34 matches played, while VfL Wolfsburg in position 16, 29 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 19% home, 24% draw and 57% away, making VfL Wolfsburg to Win the preferred tip at 57% confidence.

FC St. Pauli 0 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg questions

What is the FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours VfL Wolfsburg to Win with a predicted score of 1-3 and 57% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

FC St. Pauli are rated at 19%, the draw at 24%, and VfL Wolfsburg at 57%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.