Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi Prediction

Prediction summary

Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi key facts

Primary tipAl Merreikh to Win

Predicted score3-0

Kick-offSun, Dec 21 - 19:30

Confidence37%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Al Merreikh have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Gicumbi have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Al Merreikh a 30% home win trend and Gicumbi a 20% away win trend. Al Merreikh average 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Gicumbi at 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded. Al Merreikh 2 wins, Gicumbi 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 33% draw and 30% away, making Al Merreikh to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

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Match forecast

Al Merreikh to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 37% ★★☆☆☆

Al Merreikh Win37%

Draw33%

Gicumbi Win30%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Al Merreikh to Win 37% model probability

Double Chance 1X 70% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 60% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Al Merreikh Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 69% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 37% Final score: 1-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Al Merreikh formL L D L L1 points from last five

Gicumbi formL W L W L6 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 20%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Al Merreikh have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Gicumbi have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Al Merreikh a 30% home win trend and Gicumbi a 20% away win trend. Al Merreikh average 1.30 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Gicumbi at 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded. Al Merreikh 2 wins, Gicumbi 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 33% draw and 30% away, making Al Merreikh to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

Al Merreikh 2 wins, Gicumbi 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi questions

What is the Al Merreikh vs Gicumbi prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Al Merreikh to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 37% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Al Merreikh are rated at 37%, the draw at 33%, and Gicumbi at 30%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.