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Match predictions

Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza Prediction

NBC Premier League · Sun, Jul 5 - 16:00 · Ushirika Stadium, Moshi

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 16:00 EAT
NBC Premier League logo NBC Premier League Won
Polisi Tanzania Polisi Tanzania logo
3-1
Mbeya Kwanza logo Mbeya Kwanza
FULL-TIME SEMI-FINALS Ushirika Stadium
141%Home X26%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza key facts

Primary tipHome to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offSun, Jul 5 - 16:00
Confidence41%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Fri, Jul 3, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Home average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Away at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 26% draw and 34% away, making Home to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

Home to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Polisi Tanzania Win41%
Draw26%
Mbeya Kwanza Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Polisi Tanzania formNo recent form0 points from last five
Mbeya Kwanza formNo recent form0 points from last five
Home/Away strength46% / 34%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.15 - 1.15Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Home average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Away at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 26% draw and 34% away, making Home to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza questions

What is the Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Home to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Polisi Tanzania are rated at 41%, the draw at 26%, and Mbeya Kwanza at 34%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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