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Match predictions

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Champions League · Tue, Jul 21 - 21:30 · Merkur Arena, Graz

Updated Wed, Jul 22, 2026 03:30 EAT
Champions League logo Champions League Lost
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz logo
4-0
Heart Of Midlothian logo Heart Of Midlothian
FULL-TIME 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND Merkur Arena
136%Home X27%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 37%
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Prediction summary

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian key facts

Primary tipHeart Of Midlothian to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offTue, Jul 21 - 21:30
Confidence37%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Tue, Jul 14, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Sturm Graz have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Heart Of Midlothian have won 0 of their last 1. The available home/away sample gives Sturm Graz a 60% home win trend and Heart Of Midlothian a 34% away win trend. Sturm Graz average 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Heart Of Midlothian at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 27% draw and 37% away, making Heart Of Midlothian to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

Match forecast

Heart Of Midlothian to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 37% ★★☆☆☆
Sturm Graz Win36%
Draw27%
Heart Of Midlothian Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 72% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 37% Final score: 4-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sturm Graz formW L L L D4 points from last five
Heart Of Midlothian formNo recent form0 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 34%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.15Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sturm Graz have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Heart Of Midlothian have won 0 of their last 1. The available home/away sample gives Sturm Graz a 60% home win trend and Heart Of Midlothian a 34% away win trend. Sturm Graz average 0.70 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Heart Of Midlothian at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 27% draw and 37% away, making Heart Of Midlothian to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Lost

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 4-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian questions

What is the Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Heart Of Midlothian to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 37% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Sturm Graz are rated at 36%, the draw at 27%, and Heart Of Midlothian at 37%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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