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Match predictions

HNK Rijeka vs Derry City Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Jul 23 - 21:45 · Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac, Rijeka

Updated Fri, Jul 24, 2026 03:30 EAT
UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka logo
1-0
Derry City logo Derry City
FULL-TIME 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac
154%Home X26%Draw 220%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Prediction summary

HNK Rijeka vs Derry City key facts

Primary tipHNK Rijeka to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offThu, Jul 23 - 21:45
Confidence54%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Sat, Jul 18, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

HNK Rijeka have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derry City have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives HNK Rijeka a 50% home win trend and Derry City a 4% away win trend. HNK Rijeka average 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derry City at 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Player-form data gives HNK Rijeka an average top-player rating of 7.18 with 9 latest goal involvements, compared with Derry City at 6.95 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making HNK Rijeka to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Match forecast

HNK Rijeka to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 54% ★★★☆☆
HNK Rijeka Win54%
Draw26%
Derry City Win20%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 81% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 63% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 54% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

HNK Rijeka formD L W W D8 points from last five
Derry City formL L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.50Average goals scored
Player form7.18 / 6.95Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

HNK Rijeka have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derry City have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives HNK Rijeka a 50% home win trend and Derry City a 4% away win trend. HNK Rijeka average 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derry City at 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Player-form data gives HNK Rijeka an average top-player rating of 7.18 with 9 latest goal involvements, compared with Derry City at 6.95 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making HNK Rijeka to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

HNK Rijeka vs Derry City questions

What is the HNK Rijeka vs Derry City prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours HNK Rijeka to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 54% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

HNK Rijeka are rated at 54%, the draw at 26%, and Derry City at 20%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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