HNK Rijeka vs Derry City Prediction
UEFA Conference League · Thu, Jul 23 - 21:45 · Stadion HNK Rijeka Dean Šćulac, Rijeka
Updated Fri, Jul 24, 2026 03:30 EATHNK Rijeka vs Derry City key facts
HNK Rijeka have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derry City have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives HNK Rijeka a 50% home win trend and Derry City a 4% away win trend. HNK Rijeka average 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derry City at 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Player-form data gives HNK Rijeka an average top-player rating of 7.18 with 9 latest goal involvements, compared with Derry City at 6.95 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making HNK Rijeka to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.
HNK Rijeka to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
HNK Rijeka have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derry City have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives HNK Rijeka a 50% home win trend and Derry City a 4% away win trend. HNK Rijeka average 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derry City at 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Player-form data gives HNK Rijeka an average top-player rating of 7.18 with 9 latest goal involvements, compared with Derry City at 6.95 rating and 16 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making HNK Rijeka to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.
No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.Won
Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win
HNK Rijeka vs Derry City questions
What is the HNK Rijeka vs Derry City prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours HNK Rijeka to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 54% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
HNK Rijeka are rated at 54%, the draw at 26%, and Derry City at 20%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.