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Match predictions

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Prediction

Europa League · Thu, Jul 30 - 20:00 · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

Updated Sat, Aug 1, 2026 01:39 EAT
Europa League logo Europa League Won
Pafos Pafos logo
4-0
HNK Hajduk Split logo HNK Hajduk Split
AFTER EXTRA TIME 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND Alphamega Stadium
142%Home X27%Draw 232%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split key facts

Primary tipPafos to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offThu, Jul 30 - 20:00
Confidence42%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Thu, Jul 23, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Pafos have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while HNK Hajduk Split have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Pafos a 43% home win trend and HNK Hajduk Split a 4% away win trend. Pafos average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with HNK Hajduk Split at 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 27% draw and 32% away, making Pafos to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Match forecast

Pafos to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Pafos Win42%
Draw27%
HNK Hajduk Split Win32%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 67% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 4-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Pafos formW L L D W7 points from last five
HNK Hajduk Split formL W L W D7 points from last five
Home/Away strength43% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.33Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Pafos have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while HNK Hajduk Split have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Pafos a 43% home win trend and HNK Hajduk Split a 4% away win trend. Pafos average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with HNK Hajduk Split at 1.33 scored and 1.17 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 27% draw and 32% away, making Pafos to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 4-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split questions

What is the Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Pafos to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Pafos are rated at 42%, the draw at 27%, and HNK Hajduk Split at 32%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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