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Match predictions

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

La Liga · Sun, May 24 - 22:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 17:06 EAT
La Liga logo La Liga Won
Villarreal Villarreal logo
5-1
Atletico Madrid logo Atletico Madrid
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 38 Estadio de la Ceramica
148%Home X23%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
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Prediction summary

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid key facts

Primary tipVillarreal to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offSun, May 24 - 22:00
Confidence48%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Villarreal have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Atletico Madrid have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Villarreal and 30% for Atletico Madrid. Villarreal average 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Atletico Madrid at 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Those signals make Villarreal to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Villarreal to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Villarreal Win48%
Draw23%
Atletico Madrid Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 5-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Villarreal formW L L D W7 points from last five
Atletico Madrid formL W W L L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.10 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Villarreal have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Atletico Madrid have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 70% for Villarreal and 30% for Atletico Madrid. Villarreal average 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Atletico Madrid at 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Those signals make Villarreal to Win the preferred model tip.

Villarreal 1 wins, Atletico Madrid 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid questions

What is the Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Villarreal to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 48% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Villarreal are rated at 48%, the draw at 23%, and Atletico Madrid at 29%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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