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Match predictions

Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction

Sportpesa Premier League · Mon, Nov 24 - 15:00

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League logo Sportpesa Premier League Won
Sofapaka Sofapaka logo
1-3
Ulinzi Stars logo Ulinzi Stars
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 10 Kasarani Annex Stadium
118%Home X25%Draw 256%Away
Match Centre Confidence 56%
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Prediction summary

Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars key facts

Primary tipUlinzi Stars to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offMon, Nov 24 - 15:00
Confidence56%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Sofapaka have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ulinzi Stars have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sofapaka a 4% home win trend and Ulinzi Stars a 50% away win trend. Sofapaka average 0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ulinzi Stars at 1.20 scored and 0.90 conceded. Sofapaka 0 wins, Ulinzi Stars 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Sofapaka in position 18, 19 points, 34 matches played, while Ulinzi Stars in position 13, 41 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 18% home, 25% draw and 56% away, making Ulinzi Stars to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Match forecast

Ulinzi Stars to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Medium · 56% ★★★☆☆
Sofapaka Win18%
Draw25%
Ulinzi Stars Win56%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 56% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sofapaka formL L D L D2 points from last five
Ulinzi Stars formW W W L D10 points from last five
Home/Away strength4% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.40 - 1.20Average goals scored
Table position18 / 1319 pts vs 41 pts

Reason for tip

Sofapaka have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ulinzi Stars have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sofapaka a 4% home win trend and Ulinzi Stars a 50% away win trend. Sofapaka average 0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ulinzi Stars at 1.20 scored and 0.90 conceded. Sofapaka 0 wins, Ulinzi Stars 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Sofapaka in position 18, 19 points, 34 matches played, while Ulinzi Stars in position 13, 41 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 18% home, 25% draw and 56% away, making Ulinzi Stars to Win the preferred tip at 56% confidence.

Sofapaka 0 wins, Ulinzi Stars 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars questions

What is the Sofapaka vs Ulinzi Stars prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Ulinzi Stars to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 56% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Sofapaka are rated at 18%, the draw at 25%, and Ulinzi Stars at 56%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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