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Match predictions

Mara Sugar vs Tusker Prediction

Sportpesa Premier League · Sat, Nov 29 - 14:00

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League logo Sportpesa Premier League Won
Mara Sugar Mara Sugar logo
0-1
Tusker logo Tusker
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 11 Green Stadium
137%Home X26%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 37%
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Prediction summary

Mara Sugar vs Tusker key facts

Primary tipTusker to Win
Predicted score0-2
Kick-offSat, Nov 29 - 14:00
Confidence37%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tusker have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Mara Sugar a 50% home win trend and Tusker a 90% away win trend. Mara Sugar average 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Tusker at 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Mara Sugar 1 wins, Tusker 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played, while Tusker in position 9, 45 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 26% draw and 37% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

Match forecast

Tusker to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-2 Confidence: Low · 37% ★★☆☆☆
Mara Sugar Win37%
Draw26%
Tusker Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals No 34% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 37% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mara Sugar formL D L W L4 points from last five
Tusker formL W3 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 90%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 0.50Average goals scored
Table position11 / 944 pts vs 45 pts

Reason for tip

Mara Sugar have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Tusker have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Mara Sugar a 50% home win trend and Tusker a 90% away win trend. Mara Sugar average 0.70 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Tusker at 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Mara Sugar 1 wins, Tusker 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played, while Tusker in position 9, 45 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 26% draw and 37% away, making Tusker to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.

Mara Sugar 1 wins, Tusker 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Mara Sugar vs Tusker questions

What is the Mara Sugar vs Tusker prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Tusker to Win with a predicted score of 0-2 and 37% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Mara Sugar are rated at 37%, the draw at 26%, and Tusker at 37%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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