Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction
Carabao Cup · Sat, Aug 8 - 17:00 · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Updated Sun, Aug 9, 2026 02:07 EAT
Carabao Cup
Lost
Birmingham
Swansea vs Birmingham key facts
Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Birmingham a 4% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. Player-form data is available for Swansea, with an average top-player rating of 7.09 and 28 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Swansea to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.
Swansea to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 1 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Birmingham a 4% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. Player-form data is available for Swansea, with an average top-player rating of 7.09 and 28 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 25% draw and 30% away, making Swansea to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.
Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win
Swansea vs Birmingham questions
What is the Swansea vs Birmingham prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Swansea to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 45% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Swansea are rated at 45%, the draw at 25%, and Birmingham at 30%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.