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Match predictions

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Champions League · Wed, Aug 5 - 21:00 · Chobani Stadium, Istanbul

Updated Thu, Aug 6, 2026 00:37 EAT
Champions League logo Champions League Won
Fenerbahce Fenerbahce logo
2-0
Sturm Graz logo Sturm Graz
FULL-TIME 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND Chobani Stadium
142%Home X24%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz key facts

Primary tipFenerbahçe to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offWed, Aug 5 - 21:00
Confidence42%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Sat, Aug 1, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Fenerbahçe have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sturm Graz have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Fenerbahçe a 50% home win trend and Sturm Graz a 17% away win trend. Fenerbahçe average 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sturm Graz at 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Player-form data gives Fenerbahçe an average top-player rating of 7.26 with 12 latest goal involvements, compared with Sturm Graz at 7.80 rating and 7 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Fenerbahçe to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Match forecast

Fenerbahçe to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Fenerbahce Win42%
Draw24%
Sturm Graz Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 65% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 35% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Fenerbahce formD W W L D8 points from last five
Sturm Graz formW W W L L9 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 17%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.10Average goals scored
Player form7.26 / 7.80Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Fenerbahçe have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sturm Graz have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Fenerbahçe a 50% home win trend and Sturm Graz a 17% away win trend. Fenerbahçe average 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sturm Graz at 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Player-form data gives Fenerbahçe an average top-player rating of 7.26 with 12 latest goal involvements, compared with Sturm Graz at 7.80 rating and 7 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Fenerbahçe to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz questions

What is the Fenerbahce vs Sturm Graz prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Fenerbahçe to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Fenerbahce are rated at 42%, the draw at 24%, and Sturm Graz at 33%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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