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Match predictions

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik Prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thu, Aug 6 - 21:30 · AIL Arena, Lugano

Updated Thu, Aug 6, 2026 23:40 EAT
UEFA Conference League logo UEFA Conference League Won
FC Lugano FC Lugano logo
2-0
NSI Runavik logo NSI Runavik
FULL-TIME 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND AIL Arena
144%Home X22%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik key facts

Primary tipFC Lugano to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offThu, Aug 6 - 21:30
Confidence44%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Mon, Aug 3, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NSI Runavik have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives FC Lugano a 50% home win trend and NSI Runavik a 67% away win trend. FC Lugano average 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NSI Runavik at 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Player-form data is available for FC Lugano, with an average top-player rating of 7.65 and 6 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 22% draw and 34% away, making FC Lugano to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

FC Lugano to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
FC Lugano Win44%
Draw22%
NSI Runavik Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 46% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 2-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

FC Lugano formW W W W L12 points from last five
NSI Runavik formW L W D L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 67%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.71 - 1.67Average goals scored
Player form7.65 / -Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

FC Lugano have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NSI Runavik have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives FC Lugano a 50% home win trend and NSI Runavik a 67% away win trend. FC Lugano average 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NSI Runavik at 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded. Player-form data is available for FC Lugano, with an average top-player rating of 7.65 and 6 latest goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 44% home, 22% draw and 34% away, making FC Lugano to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik questions

What is the FC Lugano vs NSI Runavik prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours FC Lugano to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

FC Lugano are rated at 44%, the draw at 22%, and NSI Runavik at 34%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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