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Match predictions

Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar Prediction

Sportpesa Premier League · Wed, Jan 14 - 14:00

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Sportpesa Premier League logo Sportpesa Premier League Lost
Kenya Police FC Kenya Police FC logo
1-1
Mara Sugar logo Mara Sugar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 Police Sacco Stadium
154%Home X28%Draw 218%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Prediction summary

Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar key facts

Primary tipKenya Police FC to Win
Predicted score1-0
Kick-offWed, Jan 14 - 14:00
Confidence54%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Kenya Police FC a 50% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 4% away win trend. Kenya Police FC average 1.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Kenya Police FC 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Kenya Police FC in position 3, 55 points, 34 matches played, while Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 28% draw and 18% away, making Kenya Police FC to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Match forecast

Kenya Police FC to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-0 Confidence: Medium · 54% ★★★☆☆
Kenya Police FC Win54%
Draw28%
Mara Sugar Win18%
Over 2.5 Goals No 46% probability Actual: 2 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 1-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 54% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Kenya Police FC formL D D D D4 points from last five
Mara Sugar formL D1 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 0.50Average goals scored
Table position3 / 1155 pts vs 44 pts

Reason for tip

Kenya Police FC have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Mara Sugar have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Kenya Police FC a 50% home win trend and Mara Sugar a 4% away win trend. Kenya Police FC average 1.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Mara Sugar at 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Kenya Police FC 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Kenya Police FC in position 3, 55 points, 34 matches played, while Mara Sugar in position 11, 44 points, 34 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 28% draw and 18% away, making Kenya Police FC to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Kenya Police FC 1 wins, Mara Sugar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar questions

What is the Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Kenya Police FC to Win with a predicted score of 1-0 and 54% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Kenya Police FC are rated at 54%, the draw at 28%, and Mara Sugar at 18%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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