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Match predictions

Norway vs England Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Sun, Jul 12 - 00:00 · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 17:32 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Lost
Norway Norway logo
1-1
England logo England
AFTER EXTRA TIME QUARTER-FINALS Hard Rock Stadium
142%Home X17%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

Norway vs England key facts

Primary tipNorway to Win
Predicted score3-2
Kick-offSun, Jul 12 - 00:00
Confidence42%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Mon, Jul 6, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Norway have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while England have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Norway a 83% home win trend and England a 90% away win trend. Norway average 3.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with England at 2.70 scored and 0.50 conceded. The table context has Norway in position 2, 6 points, 3 matches played, while England in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data gives Norway an average top-player rating of 7.41 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with England at 7.71 rating and 17 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 17% draw and 41% away, making Norway to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Match forecast

Norway to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Norway Win42%
Draw17%
England Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Norway formW W L W W12 points from last five
England formW W W D W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength83% / 90%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile3.70 - 2.70Average goals scored
Table position2 / 16 pts vs 7 pts
Player form7.41 / 7.71Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Norway have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while England have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Norway a 83% home win trend and England a 90% away win trend. Norway average 3.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with England at 2.70 scored and 0.50 conceded. The table context has Norway in position 2, 6 points, 3 matches played, while England in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data gives Norway an average top-player rating of 7.41 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with England at 7.71 rating and 17 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 17% draw and 41% away, making Norway to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Lost

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Norway vs England questions

What is the Norway vs England prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Norway to Win with a predicted score of 3-2 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Norway are rated at 42%, the draw at 17%, and England at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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