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Match predictions

France vs Spain Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Tue, Jul 14 - 22:00 · Dallas Stadium, Arlington

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 18:08 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Lost
France France logo
0-2
Spain logo Spain
FULL-TIME SEMI-FINALS Dallas Stadium
142%Home X17%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Prediction summary

France vs Spain key facts

Primary tipFrance to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offTue, Jul 14 - 22:00
Confidence42%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Sat, Jul 11, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

France have won 5 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Spain have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives France a 90% home win trend and Spain a 83% away win trend. France average 2.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Spain at 2.20 scored and 0.30 conceded. France 0 wins, Spain 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has France in position 1, 9 points, 3 matches played, while Spain in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data gives France an average top-player rating of 7.72 with 21 latest goal involvements, compared with Spain at 7.81 rating and 12 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 17% draw and 41% away, making France to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Match forecast

France to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
France Win42%
Draw17%
Spain Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 30% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 0-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

France formW W W W W15 points from last five
Spain formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 83%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.80 - 2.20Average goals scored
Table position1 / 19 pts vs 7 pts
Player form7.72 / 7.81Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

France have won 5 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Spain have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives France a 90% home win trend and Spain a 83% away win trend. France average 2.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Spain at 2.20 scored and 0.30 conceded. France 0 wins, Spain 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has France in position 1, 9 points, 3 matches played, while Spain in position 1, 7 points, 3 matches played. Player-form data gives France an average top-player rating of 7.72 with 21 latest goal involvements, compared with Spain at 7.81 rating and 12 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 17% draw and 41% away, making France to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

France 0 wins, Spain 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 0-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

France vs Spain questions

What is the France vs Spain prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours France to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 42% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

France are rated at 42%, the draw at 17%, and Spain at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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