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Match predictions

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Europa League · Thu, Jul 23 - 19:00 · Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 12:45 EAT
Europa League logo Europa League Pending
Qarabag Qarabag logo
vs
CSKA Sofia logo CSKA Sofia
UPCOMING 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND Tofiq Bahramov Stadium
135%Home X24%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia key facts

Primary tipCSKA Sofia to Win
Predicted score2-3
Kick-offThu, Jul 23 - 19:00
Confidence41%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Sat, Jul 18, 2026 00:00 EAT.

Qarabag have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while CSKA Sofia have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Qarabag a 56% home win trend and CSKA Sofia a 90% away win trend. Qarabag average 1.70 goals scored and 2.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with CSKA Sofia at 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 24% draw and 41% away, making CSKA Sofia to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

CSKA Sofia to Win

Pending
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Qarabag Win35%
Draw24%
CSKA Sofia Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Pending final result
Both Teams To Score Yes 73% probability Pending final result
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Pending final result
Model Confidence Low 41% Waiting for full-time
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Qarabag formW W L L L6 points from last five
CSKA Sofia formW W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength56% / 90%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 2.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Qarabag have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while CSKA Sofia have won 2 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Qarabag a 56% home win trend and CSKA Sofia a 90% away win trend. Qarabag average 1.70 goals scored and 2.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with CSKA Sofia at 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 24% draw and 41% away, making CSKA Sofia to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Prediction guide

Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia questions

What is the Qarabag vs CSKA Sofia prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours CSKA Sofia to Win with a predicted score of 2-3 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Qarabag are rated at 35%, the draw at 24%, and CSKA Sofia at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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