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Match predictions

Netherlands vs Japan Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Sun, Jun 14 - 23:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 18:48 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Lost
Netherlands Netherlands logo
2-2
Japan logo Japan
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 1 AT&T Stadium
159%Home X24%Draw 217%Away
Match Centre Confidence 59%
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Prediction summary

Netherlands vs Japan key facts

Primary tipNetherlands to Win
Predicted score3-1
Kick-offSun, Jun 14 - 23:00
Confidence59%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Netherlands have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Japan have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Netherlands and 4% for Japan. Netherlands average 3.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded, compared with Japan at 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Those signals make Netherlands to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

Netherlands to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-1 Confidence: Medium · 59% ★★★☆☆
Netherlands Win59%
Draw24%
Japan Win17%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 73% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 59% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Netherlands formD W D W D9 points from last five
Japan formL D D2 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile3.10 - 1.33Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Netherlands have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Japan have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Netherlands and 4% for Japan. Netherlands average 3.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded, compared with Japan at 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Those signals make Netherlands to Win the preferred model tip.

Netherlands 0 wins, Japan 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Netherlands vs Japan questions

What is the Netherlands vs Japan prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Netherlands to Win with a predicted score of 3-1 and 59% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Netherlands are rated at 59%, the draw at 24%, and Japan at 17%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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