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Match predictions

England vs Croatia Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Wed, Jun 17 - 23:00

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 16:26 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Won
England England logo
4-2
Croatia logo Croatia
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 1 AT&T Stadium
149%Home X16%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 49%
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Prediction summary

England vs Croatia key facts

Primary tipEngland to Win
Predicted score3-0
Kick-offWed, Jun 17 - 23:00
Confidence49%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

England have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Croatia have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 90% for England and 60% for Croatia. England average 2.88 goals scored and 0.25 conceded, compared with Croatia at 3.00 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make England to Win the preferred model tip.

Match forecast

England to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆
England Win49%
Draw16%
Croatia Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 4-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

England formW W W W W15 points from last five
Croatia formW L W W W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.88 - 3.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

England have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Croatia have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 90% for England and 60% for Croatia. England average 2.88 goals scored and 0.25 conceded, compared with Croatia at 3.00 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make England to Win the preferred model tip.

England 1 wins, Croatia 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-2 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

England vs Croatia questions

What is the England vs Croatia prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours England to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 49% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

England are rated at 49%, the draw at 16%, and Croatia at 35%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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