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Match predictions

Mexico vs England Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Mon, Jul 6 - 04:00 · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 14:43 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Won
Mexico Mexico logo
2-3
England logo England
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Estadio Banorte
140%Home X19%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Prediction summary

Mexico vs England key facts

Primary tipEngland to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offMon, Jul 6 - 04:00
Confidence41%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Thu, Jul 2, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Mexico have won 2 of their last 2 recorded matches, while England have won 3 of their last 3. The available home/away sample gives Mexico a 90% home win trend and England a 90% away win trend. Mexico average 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with England at 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 19% draw and 41% away, making England to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Match forecast

England to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Mexico Win40%
Draw19%
England Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 81% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 41% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mexico formW W6 points from last five
England formW W W9 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 90%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 2.67Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Mexico have won 2 of their last 2 recorded matches, while England have won 3 of their last 3. The available home/away sample gives Mexico a 90% home win trend and England a 90% away win trend. Mexico average 2.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with England at 2.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 19% draw and 41% away, making England to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Mexico vs England questions

What is the Mexico vs England prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours England to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 41% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Mexico are rated at 40%, the draw at 19%, and England at 41%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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