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Match predictions

USA vs Belgium Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Tue, Jul 7 - 03:00 · Lumen Field, Seattle

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 15:12 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Won
USA USA logo
1-4
Belgium logo Belgium
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Lumen Field
135%Home X21%Draw 244%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

USA vs Belgium key facts

Primary tipBelgium to Win
Predicted score1-3
Kick-offTue, Jul 7 - 03:00
Confidence44%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Thu, Jul 2, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

USA have won 0 of their last 1 recorded matches, while Belgium have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives USA a 46% home win trend and Belgium a 60% away win trend. USA average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Belgium at 3.70 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 21% draw and 44% away, making Belgium to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Belgium to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-3 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
USA Win35%
Draw21%
Belgium Win44%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-4 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 1-4
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

USA formNo recent form0 points from last five
Belgium formW W D W D11 points from last five
Home/Away strength46% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.15 - 3.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

USA have won 0 of their last 1 recorded matches, while Belgium have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives USA a 46% home win trend and Belgium a 60% away win trend. USA average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Belgium at 3.70 scored and 1.00 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 21% draw and 44% away, making Belgium to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

No direct head-to-head sample found in the current data set.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 1-4 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

USA vs Belgium questions

What is the USA vs Belgium prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Belgium to Win with a predicted score of 1-3 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

USA are rated at 35%, the draw at 21%, and Belgium at 44%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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