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Match predictions

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

FIFA World Cup · Mon, Jul 6 - 22:00 · AT&T Stadium, Dallas

Updated Sun, Jul 19, 2026 15:05 EAT
FIFA World Cup logo FIFA World Cup Won
Portugal Portugal logo
0-1
Spain logo Spain
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 AT&T Stadium
137%Home X20%Draw 244%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Prediction summary

Portugal vs Spain key facts

Primary tipSpain to Win
Predicted score0-3
Kick-offMon, Jul 6 - 22:00
Confidence44%
Original forecast published before kick-off This saved prediction existed before the match · Published Fri, Jul 3, 2026 00:00 EAT. The original tip is preserved beside the verified final result.

Portugal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Spain have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Portugal a 50% home win trend and Spain a 80% away win trend. Portugal average 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Spain at 2.70 scored and 0.40 conceded. Portugal 0 wins, Spain 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 20% draw and 44% away, making Spain to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Match forecast

Spain to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Portugal Win37%
Draw20%
Spain Win44%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Portugal formW D D W L8 points from last five
Spain formW W D D W11 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 80%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.50 - 2.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Portugal have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Spain have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Portugal a 50% home win trend and Spain a 80% away win trend. Portugal average 2.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Spain at 2.70 scored and 0.40 conceded. Portugal 0 wins, Spain 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 20% draw and 44% away, making Spain to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Portugal 0 wins, Spain 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Original forecast published before kick-off. Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

Prediction guide

Portugal vs Spain questions

What is the Portugal vs Spain prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Spain to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 44% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Portugal are rated at 37%, the draw at 20%, and Spain at 44%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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