Kisure Sports Predictions

Estrela form: D D L L L. Moreirense form: D L W L W. Home/away win trends: 20% vs 20%. Average goals scored: Estrela 1.20, Moreirense 0.70. Model pick: Moreirense to Win.

GIL Vicente form: L L D W L. Rio Ave form: D L D L D. Home/away win trends: 50% vs 30%. Average goals scored: GIL Vicente 1.20, Rio Ave 1.20. Model pick: GIL Vicente to Win.

Brighton have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brighton a 50% home win trend and Sunderland a 40% away win trend. Brighton average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sunderland at 1.20 scored and 1.50 conceded. Brighton 1 wins, Sunderland 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 25% draw and 33% away, making Brighton to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Newcastle have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Newcastle a 40% home win trend and Chelsea a 30% away win trend. Newcastle average 1.30 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chelsea at 1.30 scored and 1.50 conceded. Newcastle 1 wins, Chelsea 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 28% draw and 27% away, making Newcastle to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Sheffield Utd have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sheffield Utd a 30% home win trend and Birmingham a 30% away win trend. Sheffield Utd average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.10 scored and 0.90 conceded. Sheffield Utd 1 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 24% draw and 38% away, making Birmingham to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Portsmouth a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 24% draw and 35% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Preston form: L W L L W. Norwich form: L D W W L. Home/away win trends: 20% vs 60%. Average goals scored: Preston 1.30, Norwich 1.40. Model pick: Norwich to Win.

Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt are assessed using recent form, home/away trends, goals profile and available head-to-head data.

Home average 1.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Away at 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 26% draw and 34% away, making Home to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Etincelles have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Police have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Etincelles a 40% home win trend and Police a 20% away win trend. Etincelles average 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Police at 0.70 scored and 0.60 conceded. Etincelles 0 wins, Police 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 25% draw and 32% away, making Etincelles to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Amagaju form: D L W W L. Mukura form: D L D W D. Home/away win trends: 30% vs 20%. Average goals scored: Amagaju 0.80, Mukura 1.00. Model pick: Amagaju to Win.

Oviedo and Celta Vigo are assessed using recent form, home/away trends, goals profile and available head-to-head data.